Growth stocks :: 10 Aussie stocks with the highest debt, plus a quick test to check the debt levels on your favourite stocks
Author: Mark Story
Date: December 11, 2008
What a difference a year
makes when it comes to attitudes towards corporate gearing.
Companies once lauded for having ‘ballsy borrowings’ are now as
popular as Scrooge himself on Christmas morning.
The global
credit squeeze brought to front and centre the stress debt can place
a company under. And the 180-degree about-face on what now
constitutes a troubling amount of debt brought with it a wave of
subsequent downgrades.
So exactly where do investors find a
company’s debt levels?
According to Roger Montgomery,
managing director of Clime Asset Management there’s no better
measure than the net debt-to-equity ratio, which is a measure of
total net debt compared to shareholders' equity. All figures needed
to calculate this ratio can be found in a company’s statement of
financial position or balance sheet.
So
assuming debt is a moving beast, how can investors decipher if a
stock’s current level is too high?
While investors may start
delving into interest cover ratios, Montgomery says it’s much safer
to simply avoid companies carrying too much debt. He says the best
businesses are those that don’t need to borrow and recommends giving
companies that grow by acquisition a wide berth.
He cites
(one-time) blue-chip stocks like Wesfarmers and Rio Tinto (and even
ABC Learning Centres) as classic examples of stocks whose balance
sheets have been compromised by excessive borrowings - and the
recent damage to RIO’s fortunes is hard to ignore.
It was
the prospect of repaying RIO’s net-debt to equity ratio of 114 per
cent within difficult near-term economic conditions that forced BHP
to withdraw its bid for the London-based miner. “It’s a misnomer to
assume there’s some safe threshold of borrowing – it’s all relative
to the quality of the balance sheet and the stability of future
earnings,” says Montgomery.
Clime Asset Management avoids
buying stocks with more than 50 per cent net debt-to-equity.
Interestingly, there are no fewer than 450 ASX-listed stocks where
the net debt-to-equity position is one or more. In other words, for
every $1 of equity, they’re carrying over $1 in debt.
Key
figures within the balance sheet, notably total liabilities, net
shareholder equity, cash equivalents, and interest bearing debt (or
longer term debt) provide strong clues as to the difficulty a
company might get into if there’s pressure on its EBIT (earnings
before interest and tax).
In looking purely at debt levels,
some stocks are certainly geared to the max. Trading on $1.64 equity
per share versus $16.09 in borrowing per share, Macquarie
Communications Infrastructure Group (ASX:MCG) is the ASX’s most
debt-laden stock.
Total shareholders’ equity in MCG is a
measure of the net assets in the business (total assets less total
liabilities), which comes to $816 million.
To work out the
net debt-to-equity (gearing ratio) investors need to take a few more
items off the balance sheet. These include subtracting the $516
million in cash (an asset) from interest bearing debt of $8,439.8
billion (a liability). The difference equals net debt of $7,923.5
billion - which when divided against $861 million in total
shareholders’ equity gives a gearing ratio of 920.3%.
Investors should also note the quality of a company’s
assets. Closer analysis of MCG shows that of $12.4 billion in total
assets, more than half ($7.2 billion) is made up intangible assets -
a whopping $5.7 billion represents goodwill. A further $3.3 billion
is in hard assets - plant & equipment - the value of which is
highly subjective within the current market.
Despite
reporting a total loss over a five year period, between 2004 and
2008 the entity paid $644 million in dividends and has had to raise
debt/equity to pay it. “Raising $1.8 billion in new share capital
and borrowing $8.4 billion to fund growth and dividend payments to
shareholders is an unsustainable business model,” says Clime analyst
Russell Muldoon.
But Elio D’Amato, CEO with Lincoln
Indicators warns against looking at debt ratios in isolation. He
says it’s equally important to include other factors, like a robust
scrutiny of any unusual change in debt levels and whether dividends
and working capital can be funded out of cash-flow. He says while JB
Hi Fi, Sonic Healthcare or even Woolworths trade on higher than
desirable net debt to equity (76%, 50.4% and 34% respectively)
they’re seen to have sufficiently strong cash-flow and retained
profits to absorb debt or meet any unexpected impact on operations.
And while JB Hi Fi’s $1.55 equity per share versus $1.18 in
borrowing per share might typically be of concern to investors, he
says it needs to be viewed against the interest rate environment and
prevailing consumer cycle.
Net debt-to-equity aside, another
useful measure D’Amato favours is current liabilities (or
shorter-term debt) to total liabilities and prefers the ratio to be
well under 0.70%. “The more debt a company has within the next 12
months the greater the risk, and that’s doubly true within the
current liquidity squeeze,” he says.
When comparing total
liabilities to total tangible assets – another useful measure - he
likes to see a ratio under 0.57%. Calculated as total debt divided
by total assets (excluding intangibles like goodwill), this ratio
compares debt to actual core assets the company owns. And based on
these numbers Omnitech Holdings Limited (ASX: OHL) and Imagine Un
Limited (ASX: IUL) top the ‘total liabilities to total tangible
assets’ table with ratios of 69.18% and 19.68% respectively.
Ironically, D’Amato says while under-geared stocks were
highly lambasted by brokers a year ago, a lazy balance sheet is now
regarded as good and risk-aversion is very much back in vogue.
“People are starting to remember that debt actually has a cost.”
Top 10 Debt to Equity ratios - calculated as short
term debt + long term debt – cash divided shareholders
equity
| Company |
Debt/Equity Ratio |
Macquarie
Communications |
920.3% |
AMP Ltd |
527% |
Flexigroup Ltd |
383% |
West Australian
Newspapers |
359.8% |
Duet Group |
358.1% |
Speciality Fashion
Group |
350.9% |
Quantum Energy Ltd |
340.4% |
AWB Ltd |
307.2% |
Babcock & Brown
Infra |
305.4% |
Boart Longyear Ltd |
259.2% |
Top
10 Total Liabilities to Total Tangible Assets (calculated as Total
Debt / Total Assets – Intangibles)
| Company |
Debt/TTA |
Omnitech Holdings
Limited |
69.18 |
Imagine Un Limited |
19.68 |
Monteray Group Limited |
15.07 |
Acma Engineering &
Construction Group Ltd |
12.59 |
Run Corp Limited |
9.84 |
GoConnect Limited |
7.74 |
Vesture Limited |
7.62 |
EnviroMission
Limited |
6.69 |
Resource and Investment
Nl |
5.07 |
Byte Power Group Limited |
4.29 |
Source:
Stockval